shelila’s bubbles

Monday, June 29

Gemini Horoscope

Shelila,
You are thinking about your working conditions, career path, and finances right now, and you have some very good ideas, but they may be overly optimistic or a little too generous to other people who will be involved in your plans. A partner may be poised to take advantage of you.

Nobody can changes my destiny, it’s depends on my works and the hands of God :).

Hohohoho… YES! I am ON FIRE!

Dulunya, saya tuh gak suka-suka banget sama nih Kris Allen. Secara saya dulu ngarepin yang masuk final American Idols season 8 tuh Adam Lambert sama Danny Gokey. Dan saya jagoin Danny duonkkk…. Eh ternyata malah Danny yang tereliminasi dan Kris Allen yang jadi juaranya.

Tapi setelah dengerin versi studio si Kris Allen nyanyiin ‘Heartless’-nya Kanye West, wuiihh… langsung suka deh! Keren abis!
Malah sekarang lebih suka versinya si Kris ketimbang Kanye West-nya sendiri

He successfully makes this song soooo different, and I likes it much!

download mp3 here!

Waktu kecil saya pernah punya teman imajinasi. Namanya mbak Itok. Kata mama, awalnya saya suka mainan sendiri di halaman depan/belakang rumah sembari nungguin kakak-kakak saya pulang sekolah/ngaji. Biasalah yaa… anak kecil kan suka ‘kemedan’, ngomong-ngomong sendiri… gaya-gayaan sendiri… Sampe akhirnya seringkali saya cerita tentang mbak Itok :D. Kalo ditanya, sebenernya saya sudah lupa sama sekali loh sama sosok mbak Itok si tokoh hasil rekayasa saya ini. Jadi saya taunya ya dari ceritanya mama sama kakak-kakak saya, yang duluw seringkali saya curhatin perihal mbak Itok ini.

Jadi keinget sama film ‘Imaginary Playmate’, disitu diceritain Molly dianggep ortunya punya imaginary friends padahal temennya itu adalah hantu penunggu rumah baru mereka. Serem gak sih? Langsung aja kebayang kalo ternyata… si mbak Itok ini bukannya tokoh khayalanku ajah, tapi perwujudan makhluk lain yang nongkrongnya di deket rumah! Amit-amit jabang baby deh bo’…

Menurut cerita mama, mbak Itok ini temen yang gak ada duanya dan gak ada matinya buat saya. Yah namanya saya yang nyiptain yak :P. Kalo kakak saya siy sukanya nge‘ceng’in, dan saya sering banget protes kalo mbak Itok ituh baek–gak kayak mereka tukang jail, xixixixi…

Setelah saya coba gogling dan sedikit baca-baca, teman imajinasi ini masih wajar untuk balita. Hal ini disebabkan mereka masih belum punya kegiatan yang bisa dilakukan bersama dengan orang lain, sedangkan kemampuan berimajinasi sedang tinggi-tingginya dan teman imajinasi adalah perwujudan pembelajaran mereka untuk menghadapi pergaulan di lingkungan yang sebenarnya. Pernah inget juga di suatu acara televisi, kak Seto bilang kalo kebanyakan anak yang masa kecilnya punya teman imajinasi tumbuh menjadi orang yang cerdas dan kreatif *hohoho… GR deh gw*.

Daritadi cuman ngomongin sisi positif mulu yak, mari kita bahas sisi negatifnya.. Jika si anak ini lebih suka bergaul sama temen imajinasinya saja tanpa mau berbaur dengan teman dan lingkungan, hal ini perlu diwaspadai! Bisa jadi anak tersebut kurang mendapatkan perhatian atau dalam keadaan tertekan terhadap lingkungannya. Wajarnya sih kalo anak sudah sibuk bersekolah dan mulai mempunyai banyak teman, si teman imajinasinya ini akan hilang. Untuk lengkapnya bisa dibaca disini.

Kalo kamu, pernah punya teman imajinasi gak?

Kemaren sore ujug-ujug Runnie mengirim private message via Y!M :

Runnie: kamu bisa liat transtv?
Runnie: ada maling brcelana dalam ketangkep kamera lg nyuri
Runnie:

Berhubung saya lagi ndak nonton TV, yaweess saya lanjutin baca epaper Kompas. Lha koq mak bedundhuk ketemu berita yang sama. Alamakjaang… emang manusia sekarang makin aneh aja kelakuannya, makin banyak yang gila!

Penasaran? Baca sendiri deh beritanya.. (click picture to enlarge)

Sebenernya tulisan ini saya buat atas request dari Bos untuk ngisi Company Blog, cuman ternyata gak jadi kepakek
Ya daripada dah susah-susah nulis dan ngitung tapi gak ada yang baca, mending saya share di sini aja kan? Sapa tau bermanfaat

Versinya masih bahasa inggris, jadi translate sendiri yee… hehehe…

——————————————————————-
ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS

Success is not miracle or destiny, but it will come with hardworks, efforts and willpower. But don’t forget it’s relies on making the right decision. Complex information may be available, but with no obvious interpretation. That’s why we needed the Decision Support System (DSS).

“You only have to do a very few things right in your life so long as you don’t do too many things wrong.”
–Warren Buffett

What is DSS? Decision Support Systems (DSS) are a specific class of computerized information system that supports business and organizational decision-making activities. A properly-designed DSS is an interactive software-based system intended to help decision makers compile useful information from raw data, documents, personal knowledge, and/or business models to identify and solve problems and make decisions.

But what is AHP? The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a structured technique for helping people deal with complex decisions. Rather than prescribing a “correct” decision, the AHP helps people to determine one that suits their needs and wants. Based on mathematics and psychology, it was developed by Thomas L. Saaty in the 1970’s. The AHP provides a comprehensive and rational framework for structuring a problem, for representing and quantifying its elements, for relating those elements to overall goals, and for evaluating alternative solutions.

And Why AHP? Using AHP is easier and faster for making decision. It’s help us to tailor solutions to meet our exact needs, because it’s not about the technology but the right solutions for our needs and wants, it’s all about our feelings.

How to used it? We’ll try to use Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) for Pete’s problem below.

One day, Pete planned to open new branch office in Indonesia. But he still confused to open it at Jakarta, Surabaya, Medan or Denpasar. As a director, he knew that the important factors for new office are location of building, cost for maintenance, market area and long-term prospect. Smartly, Pete decided to use Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) for help him solved the problem.
The first step in the Analytic Hierarchy Process is to model the problem as a hierarchy. In doing this, participants explore the aspects of the problem at levels from general to detailed, then express it in the multileveled way that the AHP requires. As they work to build the hierarchy, they increase their understanding of the problem, of its context, and of each other’s thoughts and feelings about both. The Pete’s problem hierarchy could be diagrammed as shown below:

After this, Pete must establish and defined the priorities of the criteria. The Criteria will be compared as to how important they are to the decision makers, with respect to the Goal. Each pair of items in this row will be compared. Pete does this by comparing each pair of objectives and ranking them on the following scale (pair wise comparison values) :

With using pair wise comparison values, Pete judging this value for the relative importance of one criterion over another  :

Now, the AHP is going to make some simple calculations to determine the overall weight that Pete is assigning to each objective. This weight will be between 0 and 1, and the total weights will add up to 1. We do that by taking each entry and dividing by the sum of the column it appears in. And it will become:

It’s suggest that about 8% of the objective weight is on Location, 50% of amount of cost, 30% on market area and 13% on long-term prospect.

For a perfectly consistent decision maker, each column should be identical, except for the normalization. By dividing by the total in each column, therefore, we would expect identical columns, with each entry giving the relative weight of the row’s objective. By averaging across each row, we correct for any small inconsistencies in the decision making process.

Our next step is to evaluate all the relatives on each objective. For this step, we can redo the same things like on the criteria. For example let’s take the LOCATION.

Then do the same things for the other criteria (Cost, Market area, Long-term prospect).
For instance, let’s see the table :

By recalling our overall weights and multiply it with relatives on each objectives, we can now get a value for each relative (city):

With the result,  Pete thinks his problem was solved and he will open a new branch office at Medan.

*taken from many resources (click picture to enlarge)